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Fork

The only win strategy! The truth and implement it more difficult: it needs to be able to bet in the largest possible number of bookmakers, and be able to analyze their lines.

We seek a "fork" as follows. If we sum the probabilities corresponding to the coefficients that cover the full space of possible outcomes of events (for example, a victory, 1 draw and win two, or win one and X2), we find that the sum is always greater than 1, say, 10%. That is the profit of the bookmaker, which he lays in the coefficients. But as many bookmakers, and the rates they differ, sometimes considerably, it took one and the same event one outcome with one bookmaker, the second - in the second and the third - the third, you can sometimes find that the sum of the probabilities for them less than 1! This is a "fork": placing each of the outcomes, we eventually find ourselves in a win regardless of the result of a match!

Probably corresponds to the ratio of the European type (ie, recorded as a decimal fraction) is simply equal to the reciprocal of this ratio, ie p = 1 / K. For example, in the office and the coefficient of winning one is 2.70, in the office B ratio on the draw - 4.00, while in office, the coefficient of winning 2 - 2.90, then the sum of probabilities will be 0,964, which means that by putting in the office of A to win one in the office B - for a draw, and in the office of C - to win 2, we take the winnings in one of the firms, we find that it will be more than the sum of the bets!

How to calculate the size of bets? If the coefficients are the same, and should put the same amount. Otherwise the rate as a percentage of an event with probability Pi, the corresponding coefficient Ki, calculated by the formula Pi / SP, where SP - sum of probabilities of all the coefficients. For the above set of coefficients, the rate of winning one in the office of A should be 38.37% of the bank for a draw in the office B - 25.90%, and on a victory in February at the office C - 35.72%. Then, when the amount of the bank's $ 100, whatever the outcome of the match we will win $ 103.60, net $ 3.60, ie 3.6% of the bank. It is easy to calculate that this profit is the difference between probability and amount of the unit.

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